Against Prediction: Profiling, Policing, and Punishing in an
Por um escritor misterioso
Last updated 19 março 2025

From random security checks at airports to the use of risk assessment in sentencing, actuarial methods are being used more than ever to determine whom law enforcement officials target and punish. And with the exception of racial profiling on our highways and streets, most people favor these methods because they believe they’re a more cost-effective way to fight crime.In Against Prediction, Bernard E. Harcourt challenges this growing reliance on actuarial methods. These prediction tools, he demonstrates, may in fact increase the overall amount of crime in society, depending on the relative responsiveness of the profiled populations to heightened security. They may also aggravate the difficulties that minorities already have obtaining work, education, and a better quality of life—thus perpetuating the pattern of criminal behavior. Ultimately, Harcourt shows how the perceived success of actuarial methods has begun to distort our very conception of just punishment and to obscure alternate visions of social order. In place of the actuarial, he proposes instead a turn to randomization in punishment and policing. The presumption, Harcourt concludes, should be against prediction.

Policing in America: Understanding Public Attitudes toward the Police. Results from a National Survey

Table 4 from Fairness in Criminal Justice Risk Assessments: The State of the Art

PDF) CRIME PREVENTION THROUGH PREDICTIVE POLICING – PROTOTYPES OF ENVIRONMENTAL CRIMINOLOGY

PDF] Against Prediction by Bernard E. Harcourt eBook
Punishing the Poor

Themes in data mining, big data, and crime analytics - Oatley - 2022 - WIREs Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery - Wiley Online Library

Predictive Policing: Forecasting Crime for Law Enforcement

Against Prediction: Profiling, Policing, and Punishing in an Actuarial Age: Harcourt, Bernard E.: 9780226316147: : Books

Bernard E. Harcourt's Critical Reads

Assessing the earned discharge pilot project: - Smith - 2012 - Criminology & Public Policy - Wiley Online Library

Beyond Profiling: The Institutional Sources of Racial Disparities in Policing - Epp - 2017 - Public Administration Review - Wiley Online Library

Against Prediction: Profiling, Policing, and Punishing in an Actuarial Age: Harcourt, Bernard E.: 9780226316147: : Books
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