All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez

As in the moments following the 2016 US election, win probabilities took center stage in public discourse after New England’s comeback victory in the Super Bowl over Atlanta. Unfortunately, n…

All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez

All Models Are Wrong - Alteryx Community

PDF) What was lost? A causal estimate of fourth down behavior in the National Football League

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All models are wrong, but // The Topos Lab

What did George E. P. Box mean by “all models are wrong, but some are useful” (probability, measure theory, physics, math)? - Quora

Lesson 17 Probability models Data Science in R: A Gentle Introduction

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What was lost? A causal estimate of fourth down behavior in the National Football League - IOS Press

All Models Are Wrong - Alteryx Community

Thread by @EvolvingWild on Thread Reader App – Thread Reader App

Evaluating sports predictions against the market – StatsbyLopez

Building a Basic, In-Game Win Probability Model for the NFL, by Stephen Hill